Nodule risk prediction model
The BTS guidelines were the first to include risk prediction models in the nodule management algorithms. Because of its high area under the curve for small nodules (under 10 mm), use of the Brock model is recommended.[37] The model has been thoroughly validated in a UK population[42] and with data from the Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial (DLCST).[43] The model is based on data from the low-dose CT screening trial in Canada (Pan-Canadian Early Detection of Lung Cancer Study [PanCan]) and on validation datasets from chemoprevention studies conducted by the British Columbia Cancer Agency (BCCA). A combined 12,029 nodules (144 malignant) were included. In the original PanCan study, predictors for malignancy were nodule size, advanced age, lung cancer in the family, location in the upper lobe, part-solid nodule type, lower nodule count, and spiculation. Female sex and the presence of visually detected emphysema on CT were also considered malignancy predictors; however, these were not validated in the validation study from DLCST, in which male sex was associated with a greater risk of malignancy and emphysema was not found to be a useful predictor of nodule malignancy. The Brock model is available free of charge at http://www.brocku.ca/lung-cancer-risk-calculator (choose full model).
The BTS guidelines recommend the use of the Brock risk prediction tool if a GGO nodule 5 mm or larger in size is stable after 3 months. If the risk of malignancy is low (less than 10%), imaging follow-up is recommended.[33] However, if the risk is higher (greater than 10%), consideration of a more invasive diagnostic approach is recommended.
Results from the Dutch-Belgian NELSON trial
In 2014, researchers from the Dutch-Belgian NELSON trial analyzed the way in which they had used low-dose CT in evaluating and handling the GGO nodules in the study population of this large lung cancer screening trial.[44] Included in the analysis were 7,135 participants from the screening group. During the trial, 264 GGO nodules were registered, of which 117 persisted after 3 months of follow-up. Of these, 69 were pure GGO nodules and 48 were part-solid GGO nodules. Twenty of the pure GGO nodules developed into part-solid GGO nodules. A total of 33 GGO nodules were resected (11 pure GGO nodules and 22 part-solid GGO nodules); 28 (85%) were AIS or invasive carcinoma. Eighty-four of the nonresected GGO nodules (51 pure GGO nodules and 33 part-solid GGO nodules) were followed in accordance with the study protocol algorithm.[45] None of the unresected GGO nodules developed into symptomatic lung cancer; however, six participants died of pulmonary adenocarcinoma diagnosed in a solid nodule elsewhere in the lung parenchyma. The median follow-up period in the patients with unresected GGO nodules was 95 months. The research group found that their strategy-which involved close follow-up and a cutoff level for further investigation of 30% increase in volume of the solid component-could be considered safe.
Natural history of GGO nodules
Growth and solid transformation of GGO nodules are indicators of malignancy; however, most GGO nodules remain unchanged, and this is one of the reasons why the management of GGO nodules can be challenging. A study consisting of 122 screen-detected GGO nodules showed that 90% of nodules did not grow during long-term follow-up (median follow-up, 59 months).[46] Most GGO nodules thus have an indolent clinical course[47]; this is especially true in screening settings, where the participants are without symptoms. Selective surgery and longer (over 4 years) follow-up of GGO nodules is thus crucial to insure optimal, safe management.[36]
Localization, Marking, and Surgical Management of GGO Nodules
Suspicious GGO nodules may have to be surgically removed via video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) for diagnostic or therapeutic reasons. However, GGO nodules are often difficult to locate due to their size and morphology. The preferred surgical procedure is VATS in combination with a marking of the GGO nodule. Most of the evidence regarding markers is derived from studies of peripherally located solid nodules smaller than 15 mm. It is generally assumed that the techniques used in the latter setting will also be effective in cases of GGO nodules.[48] The marking consists of CT-guided injection of 0.2 mL of methylene blue at the periphery of the nodule in combination with a small amount of dye at the subpleural region at the level of the nodule to serve as guidance for the surgeon.[49] In a recent prospective randomized trial, CT-guided percutaneous placement of microcoil markers in combination with fluoroscopic-guided VATS resection was significantly better than procedures in which nodule localization was via finger palpation only in small (mean nodule diameter, 12 mm) solid and subsolid nodules (93% vs 48%; P < .01).[48] Other techniques available are intraoperative ultrasonography,[50] hook wire placement,[51] injection of lipiodol,[52] and injection of radioisotope.[53] Centrally located GGO lesions are more difficult to resect and may in rare cases require a diagnostic lobectomy, even though this should be the diagnostic approach of last resort.[54]
The current guidelines recommend lobectomy with systematic lymph node dissection as the minimal resection in cases of stage I/II invasive carcinoma.[55] In recent years, improvements in CT scanning resolution, combined with increased use of CT screening, has led to the increased detection of GGO lesions that represent noninvasive or MIA types of lung cancer with a favorable prognosis.[8,56] In a CT screening context, the indication for surgery should always be carefully considered, and the decision should be made by a multidisciplinary board.[57] This is a necessary precaution in order to avoid resection of nonmalignant lesions, which if left alone might have regressed/disappeared and could in principle represent instances of the overdiagnosis of lung cancer. However, when a malignant diagnosis has been made, surgery is the primary curative treatment option. In some cases, sublobar resection may offer the same long-term survival as lobectomy, and without an increase in the likelihood of local recurrence.[58,59] In the past, sublobar resection has primarily been reserved for operable but high-risk patients in whom the optimal surgical approach must be modified. However, in recent years, especially in Japan, considerable research has gone into the evaluation of sublobar resections in non–high-risk patients.[60] The potential benefits of sublobar resection would be to spare healthy lung tissue, making for better respiratory capacity, and to allow for the possibility of future surgical treatment in the event of a new primary lung cancer.
It is possible to use radiologic criteria to identify an early noninvasive adenocarcinoma-eg, when the GGO nodule size is less than 2 cm and the C/T ratio is below 0.25 (cT1a), or when the C/T ratio is below 0.5 in a GGO nodule less than 3 cm in size (cTa-b).[8] In these patients, wide wedge resection is being compared with segmentectomy in an ongoing prospective, randomized trial conducted by the Japan Clinical Oncology Group (Table).[60] For radiologically invasive lung tumors (cTaN0M0) 2 cm or less in diameter and a C/T ratio greater than 0.5, lobectomy vs segmentectomy is being investigated in another randomized trial conducted by the Japan Clinical Oncology Group (Table).[61] In the United States, the Cancer and Leukemia Group B 140503 trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00499330) is comparing lobectomy vs wedge resection or segmentectomy. With more extensive use of CT screening, it is expected that more GGO lesions will be detected, and hence the indications for sublobar resection will need to be considered more often. However, it is important that the oncologic benefit of the surgical procedure be monitored by conducting adequate follow-up and registering results, to make possible the systematic evaluation of the procedures used. Segmentectomy is oncologically superior to a wedge resection, since it provides wider resection margins and a lower local recurrence rate.[62] If a wedge resection is performed, it should be done with a resection margin greater than 2 cm, or greater than the maximal tumor diameter.[63,64]
Conclusions
GGO nodules remain a diagnostic challenge, and therefore a more systematic approach is necessary to ensure an optimal workup. Persisting GGO nodules larger than 5 mm should be followed for at least 4 years. PET/CT has limited value in the diagnostic workup of GGO nodules. Growth of more than 2 mm in maximal diameter is considered significant. Development of a solid component in a pure GGO nodule, or growth of a pre-existing solid component in a part-solid GGO nodule, is predictive of invasive malignancy. In such cases, invasive techniques such as CT-guided biopsy or nodule removal by VATS should be considered. The current standard of care for surgical treatment of early lung cancer (cT1a-bN0M0) is still VATS lobectomy. Recent research has shown that some GGO lesions with low C/T ratios may be treated by sublobar resection. However, final recommendations with regard to this must await the results of ongoing randomized trials in the United States and Japan.
Financial Disclosure: The authors have no significant financial interest in or other relationship with the manufacturer of any product or provider of any service mentioned in this article.
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